This
commentary is inspired by Olusegun Adeniyi’s “Of wailers, counterwailers and
Buharideens” (ThisDay, March 31). In that piece, the ace journalist and public
affairs commentator successfully defines the tri-polarities governing public
responses to the Muhammadu Buhari administration. The take-away is that the
biggest challenge that Nigeria faces at the moment is political partisanship,
which has divided the country into the camps of rights and wrongs and a fierce
and bitter contestation over who is right or wrong.
One year after the last Presidential election
that led to the exit of the People’s Democratic Party (PDP), after 16 years in
office and power (sorry, the 60 years project failed) and the exit also, of the
Goodluck Jonathan administration, there is now a bitter fight out there on the
streets over whether or not Nigerians took the right decision by voting for
change, the All Progressives Congress (APC) and President Muhammadu Buhari.
President Goodluck Jonathan’s over 12.8 million supporters have proven to be
loyal and indeed that they exist as a serious, organized political force.
They have wasted no muscle, saliva or emotion
in slyly reminding Nigerians generally that the electorate didn’t think
properly about the choices they made in the 2015 general elections. President
Buhari gained 15.4 million plus supporters in that election and they too are
not ready to abandon their choice. And as Adeniyi brilliantly points out, you
have the Buharideens, whose devotion to the incumbent is at the level of
passion, religion and ethnicity. Adeniyi forgot to mention the Jonathanians (I
wonder why) who afraid of persecution, have since laid low strategically, but
are now beginning to show their hands, as a new contest for the public mind
begins, close to the first anniversary of the Buhari administration in power.
My tentative take is that there is too much ego,
passion and self-righteousness out there on the streets. Add the reverse
triumphalism of the defeated PDP. Well, scratch that. Add opportunism. You may
scratch that too. Add
didn’t-we-tell-you-the-change-you-sought-was-nothing-but-one-chance? Now, scratch
that and replace with the other group saying
you-thieves-should-go-hide-your-heads-in-shame. Hmmm, scratch that quickly and
replace with
all-of-us-na-barawo-una-go-see-wetin-we-go-do-to-you-when-we-come-back. Now
don’t scratch this completely, leave some of the ink, and replace with
there-is-no-vacancy-here-na-joke-una-dey-joke-because-we-know-corruption-is-trying-to-fight-back.
Now, come on, scratch everything and replace with the realization that Nigeria
today is entrapped in a vicious power game, a muddled integrity game and a
desperate one-upmanship, my-car-is-better-than-yours game. It is as if the
election has not ended, it is as if we are still in the season of political
campaigns.
I blame the APC strategists for allowing
things to remain at this level. They have failed to see the need to move
quickly from campaign to governance mode. They are also behaving as if they are
under the spell of Karma. The PDP wailers are tying them down, with taunts,
forcing them to still campaign after the election. They have now pushed them to
become defensive, the exact place where the PDP was more than a year ago, but
it is worse, as the APC and its agents have become irritable. The result is
that the APC and its government are beginning to over-react to every little
provocation. They used to accuse the Jonathan government of being reactive
rather than pro-active (I never agreed), but that is what they are doing now,
and it is worse according to current testimonies. They who used to be regarded
as the masters of this kind of game are losing grip of it.
Today’s men are thus making precisely the
same mistakes we made, if we may charitably say so, and if they continue this
way, and do not quickly change the narrative, their tactics and their strategy,
they may with their own hands unwittingly prepare the grounds for the hobbling
of their own government. They have already made one big additional mistake,
which the Jonathan government didn’t make: they are forcing the people to look
back. They are forcing the people to check the dictionary for the meaning of
change and to start asking simple questions. They are practically motivating
the people to be nostalgic. The kind of compare-and-contrast narrative that is
determining prevalent sentiments is ironic at all levels.
A fellow that should professionally qualify
as an idiot even asked the other day: who is thinking for this government? The
truth is that there are always people thinking for government but they are
mostly the wrong people, exploiting primordial advantages rather than natural
and trained gifts. But the worse that has happened in the shape of an own goal
is the APC fighting itself. This is too Karmic, and too much of a repetition of
recent history, to be true. When Asiwaju Bola Tinubu called out Dr Ibe Kachikwu
on the management of the lingering nationwide scarcity of fuel, and the
latter’s response to public angst – that was a deadly own goal. When the
administration puts Senate President Bukola Saraki in the dock, and treats him
like a renegade, that is another own goal. The seemingly intractable scarcity
of fuel and foreign exchange and the rising cost of everything is the biggest
own goal, in addition to the open denial of promises made to the people. In our
time, there were persons who used to wonder whenever certain things occurred if
the Jonathan government was not under a metaphysical spell; perhaps, it is
possible for a government to be under spells: man-made and induced. We have
been told, for example, that government is not a magician, credited to Dr Ibe
Kachikwu, the Minister of State for Petroleum/GMD NNPC but is anyone aware that
another government spokesperson had actually said President Buhari never
promised to perform magic, weeks before Kachikwu echoed the same point?. Check
that, and reflect on the point about magical spells.
I bring up these points merely to provoke
further thought. In the last one year, certain specific lessons have been
learnt, and you don’t need a Ph.D to know this, just check with the ordinary
man on the street. Lesson one: change doesn’t mean transformation. The change
of form is not the same as the change of content or style. Lesson two:
politicians are the same, no matter the label. Lesson three: it is not easy to
run Nigeria. The challenges, year after year, government after government,
party after party, are basically the same. Lesson four: it is easy to
criticize; it is not as easy to govern. Lesson five: every party or government
in power has skeletons in the cupboard and ghosts in their courtyard. Lesson
six: the contest for power in Nigeria is a permanent struggle at the heart of
the national question. Lesson seven: Nigeria is a country in search of good men
and heroes. Lesson eight: the love of government, religion or the kinsman, is
not the same as patriotism. Lesson nine: truth can be relative. Lesson ten:
politicians in Nigeria are who they are: whores. Lesson eleven: small things
matter most.
These propositions are organically
contradictory to the extent that they provoke further interrogations. They
could generate egotism, unnecessary contestation, bile and argumentation. We do
not need that right now. Those who voted, not necessarily for the APC, but for
President Muhammadu Buhari saw him as a game changer and a statesman, who
having nothing at stake other than love of country, will move the country
forward. The grievances in the land are directed at him. The people may not
know APC but they know Buhari. They placed their bet on him. They want answers
from him. Olusegun Adeniyi says he should not lose the popularity that brought
him to power, but he does not tell us how. I suspect that the answer lies in
President Buhari insisting that Nigeria must come first. The Manichean approach
to governance that has remained dominant for almost one year has divided the country
right down the middle, vertically and horizontally, creating camps of
disaffection that government does not need. The effect may not yet have been
seen, but it is that latent effect that will on the long run, determine the
fortunes of the Buhari administration. The time has come for President Buhari
to take another look at the tea leaves and ask the forces of division to put
Nigeria first.
He came into office as a legacy figure and
statesman. He assumed office not as a man seeking history but as a man of
history. His remit is to deepen that history and his credentials as a legacy
figure and statesman. Those who are reducing his tenure to a competition with
the immediate past as justification and platform miss this point and they have
seen enough contradictions on display to realize the limitations of their
strategy just in case there is one. There is only one valid strategy for a man
with Buhari’s antecedents: sustained connection with the popular will.
President Olusegun Obasanjo managed that very well during his first term (1999
-2003) and President Goodluck Jonathan is gaining back whatever he may have
lost – his individual heroism and the failure of the APC ‘s post-election
tactics, have shed useful light on his achievements in office via the force of
inevitable comparison.
I believe that the Buhari government has
reached that moment when it must review its house-keeping tactics. One option
is for the President to move beyond the APC and run a government of national
unity. He must search far more widely for meaning, purpose and inclusivity at
the levels of thought and policy options. He needs to run a government that
shows that it has since gone beyond elections, and seeks to build a nation. One
year is gone, so he has very short time. The best assessment of the last one
year in office cannot even be done by him, his staff or pundits. He only needs
to listen to the anonymous man on the street from Kano to wherever. The people
will always speak, and they must be heard, and as the Buhari government approaches
its first year in office, the people are speaking louder than ever. Nigerians
may be implacable, but when they begin to murmur, it is better to listen. If
anyone tells President Buhari that it is the PDP making such noise, let him not
believe such persons. If they tell him there is a Jonathanian cabal fighting
him, he should tell such persons to try another line because that particular
song is beginning to sound too familiar. There may be no magic to governance,
but there is certainly serious magic in statecraft. Mr. President, the past is
in the mirror.
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